How to ensure sick people actually do self isolate if infected with Covid-19

Having been through the H1N1 pandemic of 2009 that many Canadians  seem to either not remember, or maybe were too young to have paid attention, Covid-19 hasn’t particularly freaked me out.

People tend to forget that even the average seasonal flu is already a deadly illness for seniors, for those with chronic health conditions and for those who are immune compromised. Government stats show that hundreds die in Canada every year already from flu or flu related complications.

This is why we have flu vaccines- it might not totally prevent flu but it can help reduce the impact of it, if you do catch it. And it can help slow the spread of flu among vulnerable communities , something many also tend to forget about..

But the one thing not being considered by politicians – who enjoy good salaries and benefits – in the effort to get people to stay home when and if they get sick, is that most people can’t afford to go two days without pay, let alone two weeks.

Not all employers offer paid leave or flex days, and not all workers have vacation time to fall back on. Most people live paycheque to paycheque. Many are behind a month already on a bill or two…if not all of them.

It’s not remotely realistic to think that people will or can self isolate at all, if you have to feed your family and pay rent or mortgage. Why do politicians forget this? Landlords are already eager to evict so they can raise rents. People can’t risk housing and food.

If the government truly wants to help halt the spread of Covid -19 now that it is here, they need to look to how Japan is quickly acting:

Japan’s government says it will pay up to about 80 dollars per person per day to businesses as income compensation for parents taking leave from work in response to temporary school closures that began nationwide.

The health and labor ministry on Monday revealed the details of a new subsidy system as the government strives to prevent the spread of the new coronavirus.

The ministry will pay the subsidy of up to 8,330 yen per person per day to businesses if their employees take paid leave to take care of their children due to school closures.

It’ll also offer stipend in cases where employees care for people suspected of having been infected with the virus.

The measure will cover regular and non-regular workers who take leave between February 27 and March 31.

The ministry plans to determine and announce soon how the system will be implemented

Good plan.

Here in Canada, a similar solution that is more directly worker oriented, is to make anyone ordered/asked to self isolate or anyone who has to take care of someone who must self isolate, immediately eligible for sickness EI benefits by waiving the waiting period and processing payments immediately instead of taking 28 days.

Processing applications immediately is key, as most EI applications sit for the full 28 days before payment is let go, then backdated. We can’t wait that long if we want to keep sick or exposed people in isolation.

In the event a widespread outbreak occurs here, continue the payments for the period deemed to assist containment as they have in Japan.

As well, people are already posting letters and signs from employers stating if they miss too many shifts they will either lose fulltime hours or be fired. The province should ensure that non union workers know their rights surrounding this kind of situation, in their daily press conferences.

Problem solved. ( how long will it take the feds to act? Clocks ticking)

And for those who aren’t caring “because it’s the elderly and sick who it targets”, stop being selfish.

Viruses like this can kill those undergoing cancer treatments, those with chronic conditions like asthma and copd, and any immune compromised patient. That might include one of your family members or friends. Think about that.


Rich Coleman announces retirement as Cullen Commission gets underway

Frédéric Bastiat was a 19th century free market French economist and writer. He is known for his writings on plunder, legal or otherwise, and one of his most reknowned quotes is:

“When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men in a society, over the course of time they create for themselves a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it.”

For some reason that quote seemed to be the perfect opener to the news everyone is talking about, Rich Coleman is retiring.

Now, there are the things I am going to write about him, and there are the things I would like to write about him but won’t, because I would probably end up getting sued…

Cheryl Wiens of Langley though, did a nice thread listing quite a few things Rich is known for, some you might have forgotten. Check it out here:


But is anyone really surprised he’s retiring just as the Cullen commission is underway? I’m actually surprised he didn’t announce it sooner.

The former RCMP officer turned MLA,  has come under scrutiny many times over the years for actions and decisions he made while a minister. In the last couple of years I have written two posts that still rank as the highest viewed ever.

For good reason. They both directly relate to issues that will likely be examined at the Cullen Commission.

In the first one I posted a video of Sean Holman’s 2010 interview with Coleman, discussing how and why the IIGET was disbanded. I dissect it at specific timestamps in the video, pointing out questions and contradictions in Colemans responses. Its a riveting interview, not just for how Holman refuses to back off, but how Coleman responds. The man does not have a poker face, no pun intended.

Watch the video and read the full analysis HERE:  Money and Corruption are Ruining the Land II 

But there is more, and that first video….along with responses Coleman started giving the press nearly 10 years later when Sam Cooper started breaking all the money laundering stories…..prompted me to look again.

That developed into the second most popular Coleman post ever on this blog, in which I take apart Colemans claim they did everything they could to crack down on money laundering.

You can watch those videos, and read that blog HERE:  The Coleman Files

I guarantee that taking the time to read those two blogs alone, and making sure you watch Sean Holmans video interviews posted in them, will convince you that Rich Coleman should be subpoenaed by the Cullen Commission.

But it doesn’t end there.

This January  Sam Cooper once again broke an amazing story, and it prompted me to take a chronological look back at how long people had been calling for a corruption inquiry…and why Colemans decisions needed to be scrutinised further.

You can read that post HERE:  Confidential RCMP report Reveals Chilling Details and Puts Even more Focus on Colemans decision to disband the IIGET 

I still feel strongly the province made the wrong decision to limit the scope of the Cullen Commission to money laundering.

The extent of corruption in this province goes far beyond money laundering in casinos, and I doubt – since the commission isn’t deemed to find fault – we may not see the full examination of how government itself allows it to flourish.

Remember,  The Enemy is Corruption, it doesn’t begin or end with a political party, when it is so entrenched.

If you want to follow the Cullen Commission hearings, check out their schedules and all information here

We haven’t seen the last of Rich Coleman yet. I think he is cocky enough to bet that because there is no fault finding attached to the Commission, he might get through unscathed.




Party that refused to stop accepting foreign donations, complains about foreign funding…

The hypocrisy of the BC Liberals always astounds me – they truly have zero moral high ground over anyone in the legislature on pretty much every single issue.

But the faux moral outrage and drama they have concocted over ” foreign funded intervention in BC energy projects” takes the cake.

Seeing Ellis Ross and Shirley Bond and others go on and on about foreign donations and funding derailing policy right now, IS so hypocritical and cunning. Why? Because the BC Liberals came under fire prior to the last election, for refusing to stop taking foreign donations. Slow clap, hand them all an Oscar for that performance.

This was the BC Liberals in 2017

“British Columbia’s governing Liberal Party routinely accepts significant donations from foreign interests – a practice that is banned in many other Canadian jurisdictions. The party’s overflowing campaign war chest includes cash from offshore oil and gas companies, European pharmaceutical companies and Beijing investment firms.

British Columbia has no residency requirement for political contributions from individuals or companies, but provincial Justice Minister Suzanne Anton said Thursday in an interview with The Globe and Mail that it’s an issue “worth keeping an eye on.”…

…”It’s not something we are proposing to do at the moment. I don’t think it’s a big influence in B.C. politics”

Among the donations the BC Liberals accepted were ones from state ownedChinese companies, and Petronas who is a partner in LNG Canada. 

Huh. Imagine that.

This is the BC Liberals NOW… in 2020

As a gas pipeline protest camp continued to grow in front of the B.C. legislature Wednesday, Skeena MLA Ellis Ross called on the NDP government to end a “coordinated assault on the Canadian economy” financed by U.S. charitable foundations.

I’m told but haven’t the time to look, that Sandy Garossino has debunked this on Twitter. A couple of ENGO’S have formally reacted to it, detailing how inaccurate their specific claims to their organizations were.

Seriously, how do the BC Liberals expect anyone to take them seriously? It’s bad enough they turned a blind eye to money laundering ( a post on the Cullen Commission and Rich Colemans mouthiness there, soon), but now they are outraged over foreign money in BC politics? They used to LOVE foreign money as evidenced by the donations they accepted. Even then Justice minister Suzanne Anton didn’t object. And that went on for years.

If one wants to really look how foreign money influences Canadian politics in ways average people dont see, just look at the amount of foreign companies using foreign funds to pay for lobbyists to meet directly with elected officials and government staff all the time.

Specifically to influence policy and legislation that’s favourable to them  That’s why the Lobbyist Registry exists, to give an illusions of transparency.

And yet I dont hear the BC Liberals  complaining about that either.

The truth is foreign funds and foreign companies have influenced our politicians, economy and policy for years. Especially when it comes to oil and gas policy. But not one of these hypocrites will mention that because ita “different” when they don’t.

And I have yet to see any reporter ask them why their stance on this has suddenly changed.


Motherlode or Fools Gold ? 2 Things that will have you questioning the push for BC LNG

** updated below post Feb 20, 2020. CGL pipeline has applied for a federal loan to help build the pipeline.**


With Wetʼsuwetʼen supporter blockades and demonstrations ongoing, no one can miss the barrage of pro LNG industry advertising popping up everywhere heavily promoting Coastal GasLinks natural gas pipeline.

The Coastal GasLink pipeline begins in BC, ends in BC and if finished will transport natural gas to LNG Canada’s plant when its completed in approximately 2025. Industry groups and Premier Horgan have both said this project is critical for British Columbians and will bring prosperity and revenue into provincial coffers for decades. 

For the average, non political person, these ads – viewed without knowledge of global LNG market problems or how subsidized the industry is – do make it sound like the motherlode of all opportunities for BC.

But a deeper look at some industry reports I came across recently, really has me shaking my head at the public relations campaigns from the BC LNG Alliance and Resource Works. Even industry reports are transparent about the need for subsidies to even make LNG happen in BC.

This all won’t be sexy info for most people, admittedly. But British Columbians are on the hook for a lot when it comes to  LNG. And they should be asking why.

It’s of no news to anyone, least of all John Horgan, that the spot price of LNG right now is at a historical low.  There has been a glut of LNG flooding the market for some time, and due to a warmer winter than normal and China’s Covid-19 outbreak, it’s a bit of a nightmare for LNG exports right now. 

Prices are sitting around the $3.00 US per mmBTU in Asia, down from $20 six years ago. 

However alarming that is for gas producers, it isn’t the current price of LNG we need to worry about. LNG Canada’s plant won’t open until 2025, so it is the price of LNG in 2025 that analysts look towards as one factor in viability.

This is where it gets interesting. One would think that with LNG prices at rock bottom prices, there would be no where to go but up, and those with skin in the game will do anything to make you believe it will . After all, their jobs depend on it, to be blunt.


But a new report indicates the opposite in fact, that another glut in a few years will ensure prices stay low: 

…But while the glut is set to come to an end, which should lift rock-bottom spot prices, the race to give the green light for new projects has intensified, the analysts said. The winners in the next race would be low-cost producers with clear funding plans and some LNG service companies.

“Competition to sanction the next wave of LNG projects has intensified risking another glut in the mid-2020s,” Bernstein said.”The seeds of the next cycle are already being planted.”

“With a further 110 million tonnes per annum of potential projects the competition for market space will be intense,” Bernstein said.

That article should be read in full as it details other projects coming online mid 2020’s when LNG  Canada will be online.

This anticipated future glut is a big reason Chevron is trying to shed its stake in Kitimat LNG, the other potential LNG plant on tap for Northern BC. 

Now, the likelihood of another LNG glut in the global market in the mid 2020’s could spell disaster for the LNG Canada partners…or spell disaster for the provincial and federal governments. Let me tell you why.

The Canadian Energy Research Institute issued a report July 2018, on the viability of LNG in Canada, West coast potential projects versus East coast projects.  You can read the full report here:

From the report:

The cost competitiveness of an LNG plant is in relation to the destination markets. A project with
certain supply costs and transportation costs needs to ensure that the price offered at the
destination market over 20-years will cover those costs. Otherwise, the LNG owners risk a loss.
In this section, the landed costs of LNG in Canada and competing jurisdictions are compared with
prices at the destination markets. Further, the section presents ways to improve cost competitiveness for Canadian projects. ** note, improving cost competiveness = more government subsidies, LY**

Key observations:
1. Western Canada and Eastern Canada LNG landed costs are more expensive than the
current spot price in Japan (for Eastern Canada LNG, northeast Asia is not a priority
market). The difference between Western Canada LNG landed costs and spot price is
$0.80 at the time of writing (May 2018). ** spot price at the time of this report was $8.20..its sitting far lower now at $3.00ish**LY
2. Under an oil-linked contract ( which many Asian buyers prefer), a Western Canada LNG project will need an oil price of
approximately $80 or higher over the life of the project to break-even (contract price is
assumed at 11.5% of Brent contract; break-even costs include a return to investors).
3. The total liquefaction costs of Western Canada LNG (all costs except for natural gas) are
higher than for the US GoM-based project.

Do you see the issue now? These calculations for viability,while approximates, actually included the provincial governments ‘incentives’ aka subsidies, at an LNG price that was much higher than it is now.

The report mentions how governments could make it more competitive by offering more incentives. (I recently explored the amount of lobbying going on by CAPP and other industry groups here : )

The questions surrounding the economics alone are unsettling. BC LNG projects require much higher LNG prices AND an oil price $80 just to break even. To make a profit it would have to be even higher.

This is why those LNG lobbyists are all busy lobbying right now. They want better policy for them and more subsidies to ensure the industry can make money.

It’s even been questioned why LNG Canada would even go ahead with such challenges. Some analysts speculate it’s just a way for LNG Canadas partners to lock down a dedicated gas supply for 40 years. Pretty much on BC taxpayers dime.

Marc Lee touches on this in his dissection of the LNG subsidies given by our current government. I suggest you read it if you haven’t.

Further food for thought on the challenging economics and viability of LNG can be found here, in this Oxford Energy Study:

One thing before I go. Boosters keep pushing the save China from air pollution and coal line. Frankly, it’s bunk. Yes, LNG is used overseas and it will continue to be. But coal is very cheap right now and will be used heavily for years to come. Right now Japan is racing to build new coal plants, despite knowing how environmentally unsound it is.

And China is not only building more coal plants, it is also financing others in less developed countries who can’t get financing for them anywhere else. 

Any LNG we produce is not going to displace the impact of all these new coal plants overseas.

Now we are in a spot where the ndp government has focused so much on one project and industry just like the BC Liberals did, that zero work has been done to diversify and create resilient northern communities that don’t bust when the resource disappears.

A lot can happen in the next few years. Many countries are moving past LNG right to renewables. Investors are wary and just this week the headlines declared worlds top LNG producer is in trouble.

LNG in BC. Is it really the motherlode…or is it just fools gold? Only time will tell.

*** update Feb 20, 2020.

CGL pipeline has applied for a loan or grant from the feds. In essence taxpayers loaning money to help build a pipeline to LNG Canada, a project that isn’t viable without billions in government subsidies.